BMW kicks testing efforts up a notch with new climatic complex
BMW LONDON
A motorcycle undergoes rain testing in the environmental wind tunnel.
He says change will encompass the entire fleet: petrol and diesel with a tech package including automatic start/stop, better engine breathing and regenerative braking.
Whatever changes are made, he warns that less-populated areas must be considered in order to be successful.
Lenz says manufacturers are changing their philosophies but the topic of mobility goes beyond the automobile.
"The number of vehicles per capita is stagnating,” she says. “It’s true in Canada, the U.S. and Europe, people love to have cars not necessarily to drive them but perhaps for emergency where they can say ‘I still have my car.’"
She says the climate change discussion has changed "because the people involved in transport discussions have not grown up with the car as a favourite toy."
So what will we see in the next 10 years or so?
Historian Moser says that in the 1980s the prevailing pessimism was that the car had met its demise.
"The car was reinvented in the ’90s and in view of the repeated reinvention of the auto, I’d put my money on the continuation of the internal combustion engine."
He sees the downsizing of the automobile and affordable mobility.
"More and more depends on what the individual cities and states do," says Khanna. "I’m talking about behaviour change" like sharing an automobile.
He predicts the mass production of small electric cars and that "the Indians will be market leaders."
Ozdemeir says autos will have a future as a constituent of mobility, not the only means.
"If you don’t have cars in rural areas there is less freedom," he says. "Maybe now car companies can become mobility companies.
He says developed countries must lead the way to prevent emerging nations from "repeating our mistakes."
Lenz says a prime topic in 10 years will still be "how can we include all the people with the new mobility."
Reithofer sees more compact cars equipped with three-cylinder turbocharged engines, plug-in hybrids. E-cars, he says, will account for five to 10% of the vehicles sold.
So, in the end, it appears there’s a consensus that change is upon us and will continue but there’s only limited agreement on where that change will lead us in the end.